Parametric Bayesian comparisons
- Added parameteric Bayesian version of Ricker to the set of comparisons, see allen.Rmd
- Adjusted thinning of posterior sample before determining optimum of GP
Reading / Examples
Need a nice set of basic fisheries examples involving potential tipping points for ERE talk. hmm.
- As mentioned in Worm et al. (2009) .
- Algal-reef example from Aronson & Precht (2000)
- Fish collapse following reef distruction Paddack et al. (2009)
- Alt stable states in marine systems Petraitis & Dudgeon (2004) , Osman et al. (2010)
Cod examples? Forage fish? Peruvian Anchovy. Overfishing vs climate variability.
And more examples from marine systems in Oguz & Velikova (2010) , Lindegren et al. (2010) , deYoung et al. (2008)
Beyond tipping points: avoiding policy-based thresholds. Pikitch (2012)
- https://www.ecotippingpoints.org/our-stories/indepth/usa-hawaii-hanauma-environmental-management.html ?
https://www.ecotippingpoints.org/our-stories/indepth/philippines-apo-marine-sanctuary-coral-reef-fishery.html
References
- Richard B. Aronson, William F. Precht, (2000) Herbivory And Algal Dynamics on The Coral Reef at Discovery Bay, Jamaica. Limnology And Oceanography 45 251-255 10.4319/lo.2000.45.1.0251
- M Lindegren, R Diekmann, C Möllmann, (2010) Regime Shifts, Resilience And Recovery of A Cod Stock. Marine Ecology Progress Series 402 239-253 10.3354/meps08454
- T Oguz, V Velikova, (2010) Abrupt Transition of The Northwestern Black Sea Shelf Ecosystem From A Eutrophic to an Alternative Pristine State. Marine Ecology Progress Series 405 231-242 10.3354/meps08538
- RW Osman, P Munguia, RN Zajac, (2010) Ecological Thresholds in Marine Communities: Theory, Experiments And Management. Marine Ecology Progress Series 413 185-187 10.3354/meps08765
- Michelle J. Paddack, John D. Reynolds, Consuelo Aguilar, Richard S. Appeldoorn, Jim Beets, Edward W. Burkett, Paul M. Chittaro, Kristen Clarke, Rene Esteves, Ana C. Fonseca, Graham E. Forrester, Alan M. Friedlander, Jorge García-Sais, Gaspar González-Sansón, Lance K.B. Jordan, David B. McClellan, Margaret W. Miller, Philip P. Molloy, Peter J. Mumby, Ivan Nagelkerken, Michael Nemeth, Raúl Navas-Camacho, Joanna Pitt, Nicholas V.C. Polunin, Maria Catalina Reyes-Nivia, D. Ross Robertson, Alberto Rodríguez-Ramírez, Eva Salas, Struan R. Smith, Richard E. Spieler, Mark A. Steele, Ivor D. Williams, Clare L. Wormald, Andrew R. Watkinson, Isabelle M. Côté, (2009) Recent Region-Wide Declines in Caribbean Reef Fish Abundance. Current Biology 19 590-595 10.1016/j.cub.2009.02.041
- Peter S. Petraitis, Steve R. Dudgeon, (2004) Detection of Alternative Stable States in Marine Communities. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology And Ecology 300 343-371 10.1016/j.jembe.2003.12.026
- E. K. Pikitch, (2012) The Risks of Overfishing. Science 338 474-475 10.1126/science.1229965
- B. Worm, R. Hilborn, J. K. Baum, T. A. Branch, J. S. Collie, C. Costello, M. J. Fogarty, E. A. Fulton, J. A. Hutchings, S. Jennings, O. P. Jensen, H. K. Lotze, P. M. Mace, T. R. McClanahan, C. Minto, S. R. Palumbi, A. M. Parma, D. Ricard, A. A. Rosenberg, R. Watson, D. Zeller, (2009) Rebuilding Global Fisheries. Science 325 578-585 10.1126/science.1173146
- Brad deYoung, Manuel Barange, Gregory Beaugrand, Roger Harris, R. Ian Perry, Marten Scheffer, Francisco Werner, (2008) Regime Shifts in Marine Ecosystems: Detection, Prediction And Management. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 23 402-409 10.1016/j.tree.2008.03.008