Notes

.@NOAA gives a glimpse of what the future of scipub could be w/ web native format for this peer-reviewed report: https://t.co/NCireU39DY

ASN talk

Working on ASN talk (primarily introduction), again.

  • grand challenges of global change, consequences for ecosystems and the services they provide, economies, and biodiversity.

  • To manage these things, we need some understanding of how they behave, and how they respond to our management options. We need a model

  • When data is unavailable, a mechanistic model is the best thing. When mechanisms are unavailable, the data is the best thing…

  • Classical modeling approaches alone won’t work. (But they should still help guide what we do!)

  • This amount of complexity, this amount of data, would require too many parameters. we never estimate all of them. uncertainty is too large.

  • Stop trying to shove all the data into a handful of parameters. or an army of parameters.

  • management needs non-parametric approaches for decision making.