Wednesday

Alan meeting

  • Sanchirico course, Hastings course
  • Berkeley visits
  • NIMBioS working group
  • Lab website, lab group meeting.

To Do

  • Finish THEE review
  • Evolution edits
  • Miller Application
  • Berkeley visits emails.
  • File ESA reimbursements.
  • File NIMBioS reimbursements.

Next steps

  • Paper for treebase/rfishbase packages?
  • wrightscape paper.
  • Training problem II.
  • Economics warning signals.  Costs of errors.  Updating (multiple decision points). Mitigation strategy.
  •  Inferring the uncertainty in model, adaptive management.

Lit-based steps:

  • close read / replicate stochastic transitions discrimination Ditlevsen & Johnsen, 2010.
  • close read of economic considerations, (Horan et. al. 2011)
  • Classic Allee effect models with saddle-node bifurcations.

Organizing: what I’d like from Merrit:  dropbox-style data storage.  e.g. also with Wordpress/server file

References

  • Horan R, Fenichel E, Drury K and Lodge D (2011). “Managing Ecological Thresholds in Coupled Environmental-Human Systems.” Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences, 108. ISSN 0027-8424, https://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1005431108.
  • Tipping Points: Early Warning And Wishful Thinking, Peter D. Ditlevsen, Sigfus J. Johnsen, (2010) Geophysical Research Letters, 37 10.1029/2010GL044486